Inflation Watch

Inflation Watch turns official price data into plain English. No jargon, no spin, and no invented numbers. WHAT IT SHOWS YOU • Today's inflation rate, explained in a sentence anyone can read • Which categories are actually driving it, not just which rose most • Prices where you live, from 23 metro areas and every census region • Your own inflation rate, worked out from what you personally spend • Real dollar prices: eggs, gas, milk, electricity, diesel • Whether your pay is keeping up TOOLS • A mortgage discount points calculator that does the math properly, including the two effects almost every online calculator leaves out • A diesel slider: move fuel prices and see what has historically followed at the grocery store, and when • A compounding explorer: what happens if this rate simply continues • A dollar converter across a century of price data HONEST FORECASTING Fourteen statistical models forecast where inflation may go. Every one is scored against months it never saw while learning. Any model that cannot beat the naive assumption that nothing changes is excluded from the headline forecast and labeled as having lost. Often most of them lose. The app shows you the scoreboard rather than just an answer. UNDERSTANDING IT • How a Fed rate change actually reaches your mortgage, card and savings, including why mortgages barely follow it • Oil, shipping chokepoints, and the measured path from a barrel to a grocery bill • Whether printing money causes inflation (sometimes; the two big experiments came out opposite ways) • Eight ways people try to stay ahead of inflation, with their real drawbacks stated • The 1923 German hyperinflation, and why it is nothing like 3% a year • What the ten largest economies report, with a third-party measure of how checkable each one is ALERTS Get told when the Federal Reserve moves rates, when new figures land, and when inflation turns sharply. BUILT HONESTLY Every figure carries its source and its date. When data is missing, the app says so. October 2025 was never collected, and nothing here fills that gap with a guess. When a model does not work, the app says that too. There are no accounts, no tracking, and no analytics. Your spending stays on your device. One purchase. No subscription. No ads.